U.K. Interbank Lending Declined in July From Year Ago (Update2)
By Jennifer Ryan and Gavin Finch
Sept. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Lending between U.K. banks slumped
in July as financial institutions hoarded cash, signaling Bank
of England efforts to revive money markets amid a surge in
subprime-mortgage losses aren't working.
The volume of interbank lending in the British currency
fell to 205 billion pounds ($370 billion), from 635 billion
pounds in July last year, according to central bank data
published today. The reading is down from the 269 billion-pound
average since the credit crunch started last August, and the 332
billion-pound average for the five years ending December 2006.
Banks have racked up losses of more than $500 billion since
the collapse of the U.S. subprime-mortgage market. Interbank
borrowing rates are little lower now than they were in April,
when the Bank of England offered to take on damaged mortgage-
backed bonds in an effort to unfreeze lending. The strains in
global money markets will probably persist ``for some time,''
the Bank for International Settlements said today.
``We're in the same position we were in last year, with
banks hoarding cash to refinance their own beleaguered balance
sheets,'' said Christoph Rieger, a fixed-income strategist at
Dresdner Kleinwort in Frankfurt. ``The Special Liquidity Scheme
has helped individual banks by preventing them from becoming
illiquid, but it hasn't helped money markets return to normal.''
The July figure, which excludes central bank transactions,
is down 68 percent from a year earlier. Part of the decline is
due to changes in the number of institutions reporting to the
central bank, according to the bank's Web site.
Brink of Recession
The central bank program allows commercial banks to swap
mortgage-backed securities harmed by the credit squeeze for
government bonds. The lending freeze led to the collapse of
mortgage lender Northern Rock Plc in September, triggering the
first run on a U.K. bank in more than 140 years.
The credit famine and the fastest inflation in at least a
decade have brought the U.K. to the brink of a recession. Gross
domestic product stagnated in the second quarter, ending the
nation's longest stretch of economic growth in more than a
century, according to government data.
Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said in June he will
unveil a new money-market system this year to cope with both
``normal'' and ``stressed'' conditions. He hasn't said when or
whether banks will reveal their participation in the April plan.
``It's significant that lending volumes have stopped
falling, but what's worrying is the level where they've
stabilized,'' said Lena Komileva, an economist at Tullett Prebon
Plc in London. ``This new order reflects weak confidence in
credit quality as a result of banks struggling to refinance
their loan books. It's a striking illustration of a crisis at
its height.''
Pressures `Continue'
Interest-rate derivatives imply that banks are becoming
more hesitant to lend on speculation credit losses will increase
as the global economic slowdown deepens.
The premiums banks charge each other for three-month cash
relative to the overnight indexed swap rate widened to 78 basis
points today from 12 basis points on July 31, 2007, before the
credit crunch took hold in the U.K. It has averaged 69 basis
points in the past 12 months, up from an average of 11 basis
points in the preceding year.
``The term structure of Libor-OIS spreads suggests the
interbank market pressures are expected to continue for some
time,'' Ingo Fender and Jacob Gyntelberg, analysts at the BIS,
wrote in the Basle-based bank's quarterly report.
The increase in short-term borrowing costs triggered
questions over the accuracy of the London interbank offered
rate, the benchmark interest rate administered by the British
Bankers' Association and used to calculate rates on $360
trillion of financial products worldwide.
The BIS said in March some banks may have understated their
borrowing costs to avoid being seen as having difficulty raising
financing.
To contact the reporters on this story:
Jennifer Ryan in London at
Jryan13@bloomberg.netGavin Finch in London at
gfinch@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: September 1, 2008 11:18 EDT