Tree-rings prove climate was WARMER in Roman and Medieval times than it is now - and world has been cooling for 2,000 years

  • Study of semi-fossilised trees gives accurate climate reading back to 138BC
  • World was warmer in Roman and Medieval times than it is now

By Science Reporter

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Rings in fossilised pine trees have proven that the world was much warmer than previously thought - with measurements dating back to 138BC

Rings in fossilised pine trees have proven that the world was much warmer than previously thought - with measurements dating back to 138BC

How did the Romans grow grapes in northern England? Perhaps because it was warmer than we thought.

A study suggests the Britain of 2,000 years ago experienced a lengthy period of hotter summers than today.

German researchers used data from tree rings – a key indicator of past climate – to claim the world has been on a ‘long-term cooling trend’ for two millennia until the global warming of the twentieth century.

This cooling was punctuated by a couple of warm spells.

These are the Medieval Warm Period, which is well known, but also a period during the toga-wearing Roman times when temperatures were apparently 1 deg C warmer than now.

They say the very warm period during the years 21 to 50AD has been underestimated by climate scientists.

Lead author Professor Dr Jan Esper of Johannes Gutenberg University in Mainz said: ‘We found that previous estimates of historical temperatures during the Roman era and the Middle Ages were too low.

‘This figure we calculated may not seem particularly significant, however it is not negligible when compared to global warming, which up to now has been less than 1 deg C.’

In general the scientists found a slow cooling of 0.6C over 2,000 years, which they attributed to changes in the Earth’s orbit which took it further away from the Sun.

The study is published in Nature Climate Change.

It is based on measurements stretching back to 138BC.

The finding may force scientists to rethink current theories of the impact of global warming

Professor Esper's group at the Institute of Geography at JGU used tree-ring density measurements from sub-fossil pine trees originating from Finnish Lapland to produce a reconstruction reaching back to 138 BC.

In so doing, the researchers have been able for the first time to precisely demonstrate that the long-term trend over the past two millennia has been towards climatic cooling.

 

Professor Esper said: 'Such findings are also significant with regard to climate policy, as they will influence the way today's climate changes are seen in context of historical warm periods.’

The annual growth rings in trees are the most important witnesses over the past 1,000 to 2,000 years as they indicate how warm and cool past climate conditions were.

Researchers from Germany, Finland, Scotland, and Switzerland examined tree-ring density profiles.

In the cold environment of Finnish Lapland, trees often collapse into one of the numerous lakes, where they remain well preserved for thousands of years.

Global cooling: It is the first time that researchers have been able to accurately measure trends in global temperature over the last two millennia

Global cooling: It is the first time that researchers have been able to accurately measure trends in global temperature over the last two millennia

The annual growth rings in trees are the most important witnesses over the past 1,000 to 2,000 years as they indicate how warm and cool past climate conditions were

The annual growth rings in trees are the most important witnesses over the past 1,000 to 2,000 years as they indicate how warm and cool past climate conditions were

The density measurements correlate closely with the summer temperatures in this area on the edge of the Nordic taiga; the researchers were thus able to create a temperature reconstruction of unprecedented quality.

The reconstruction provides a high-resolution representation of temperature patterns in the Roman and Medieval Warm periods, but also shows the cold phases that occurred during the Migration Period and the later Little Ice Age.

In addition to the cold and warm phases, the new climate curve also exhibits a phenomenon that was not expected in this form.


 

Here's what other readers have said. Why not add your thoughts, or debate this issue live on our message boards.

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Any chance of reclaiming all that global warming tax?

Click to rate     Rating   7

Yeah, we know this. But at the moment we seem to have a terrible case of solar flares. Probably why planes are spraying aluminium particles: to block the radiation.

Click to rate     Rating   1

The planet is cooling because the core is cooling. It's molten, not nuclear like the sun so this is not really anything to be concerned about, It is happening and no one can change that fact. - Danny D, London, England, 11/7/2012 23:54 The core isn't cooling, at least not at a rate that affects us and certainly not climate. And the molten earth is powered by radioactive decay.

Click to rate     Rating   4

article is nonsense how expensive will plastic be when we have burnt all the oil it is made from? - Kev, ShortShiftShire, 12/7/2012 00:47 What? Plastics are a by product of the oil industry. If fuel wasn't used for cars, plastic produced from fuel would have a much higher cost. We need fuel, we could do without plastic and in any case, I'm sure it will be easier to manufacture plastic by alternative means than manufacture fuel.

Click to rate     Rating   2

How did they manage to pinpoint the year - 138 BC?

Click to rate     Rating   5

Wow-- How Refreshing-- Not all Europeans Have been BrainWashed by the Global Warming Mafia. Good On Ya Brits!!!

Click to rate     Rating   37

(add note to my - 11/7/2012 23:47 post) Red arrowed by truth already?:-) These were not my words: ''First see that News Busters headlines an article on a study that, if confirmed, would lower baseline climate temperatures over the past 2000 years by 0.3 degrees Celsius. The headline says the new study "Thoroughly Debunks" global warming...'' etc-- THEY WERE FROM A REPUTABLE SCIENTIFIC ARTICLE. (also, I don't want to be accused of plagiarism:-)

Click to rate     Rating   5

So as we're about 18000 years into the regular 15 to 20000 year interglacial period, are we about to man make and sustain a new artificial Holocene Maximum so great that it prevents the next ice age and wipes out most of the animal and plant variety on the Earth, or aren't we?

Click to rate     Rating   6

Citizens must demand climate security

Click to rate     Rating   22

One of the things missed by those who falsely think this contradicts GW caused by CO2: Things being warmer hundreds of years ago is a result of other causes, like orbital changes as noted in the article. The recent rise is not explained by that, and if those causes were still in effect temperatures would still be getting lower - but they aren't. (BTW false claim, rewarming stopped in 1997 - the last few years have been full of record highs, and first half of 2012 was hottest first half ever recorded.

Click to rate     Rating   42

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