Russia Gives Banks Cash, Halts Stock Trading to Head Off Crisis
By Alex Nicholson and William Mauldin
Sept. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Russia halted stock trading for a
second day, poured $44 billion into its three largest banks and
relaxed restrictions on lenders to stem the worst financial crisis
since the nation defaulted a decade ago.
The central bank slashed reserve requirements for banks,
freeing up as much as $12 billion, and the Finance Ministry
allowed OAO Sberbank, VTB Group and OAO Gazprombank to borrow the
$44 billion for three months. The benchmark Micex index plunged as
much as 10 percent, bringing its three-day decline to 25 percent.
Russia's markets are facing the biggest test since the
government defaulted on domestic debt in 1998. The decade-long
economic boom is fading, foreign investors have pulled at least
$35 billion from the nation's stocks and bonds since the five-day
war in Georgia last month, and the collapse this week of Lehman
Brothers Holdings Inc. and American International Group Inc.
prompted a flight from emerging markets.
``I will tell my clients today to continue to abstain from
buying Russian assets'' until economic problems are solved, said
Zina Psiola, who manages a $1 billion Russian equities fund at
Clariden Leu AG in Zurich.
The cost of lending has soared to a record, with the MosPrime
overnight rate reaching 11.1 percent today, deterring speculative
bets in equities. Russian stocks have lost more than $425 billion
in value since reaching an all-time high May 17.
The Moscow-based brokerage KIT Finance said it's in talks
with investors to sell a stake after failing to meet some
financial obligations related to repurchase agreements.
`Heightened Risk'
``Heightened counterparty risk means that the only place to
raise cash is the equity market,'' said Julian Rimmer, head of
sales trading at UralSib Financial Corp. in London. ``Every time
the market opens we have selling to meet margin calls, which
triggers stop-losses, more margin calls and redemptions.''
The cost of protecting bonds sold by Sberbank from default
jumped 60 basis points to 3.55 percentage points, according to CMA
Datavision prices at 3 p.m. in London. Credit-default swaps on OAO
Gazprom, the gas export monopoly, fell 38 basis points to 421.
Contracts on VTB Group declined 35 basis points from an all-time
high to 6.53 percentage points, according to CMA.
Credit-default swaps, contracts conceived to protect
bondholders against default, pay the buyer face value in exchange
for the underlying securities or the cash equivalent should a
company fail to adhere to its debt agreements. A rise indicates
deterioration in the perception of credit quality.
A basis point on a credit-default swap contract protecting
$10 million of debt from default for five years is equivalent to
$1,000 a year.
`Necessary Measures'
President Dmitry Medvedev met Prime Minister Vladimir Putin
today to discuss developments surrounding the economy.
``The situation is being followed very closely,'' Putin's
spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, said in a phone interview. ``Necessary
measures are being taken.''
Central Bank Chairman Sergey Ignatiev said the cutting of
banks' reserve requirements by 4 percentage points will free up
about 300 billion rubles. The rate for individual liabilities will
fall to 1.5 percent, the rate for foreign bank liabilities will
fall to 4.5 percent and the requirement for other liabilities will
decrease to 2 percent.
``This is a bigger cut than we expected,'' Natalia Orlova,
chief economist at Alfa Bank in Moscow, said by telephone. ``This
is very good news.''
Ignatiev said the central bank will keep the ruble stable and
he has ``no doubt'' stocks will rebound. He forecast inflation may
accelerate to about 12 percent this year because of the extra cash
in the system before slowing to between 7 percent and 8.5 percent
next year.
Economic Woes
The ruble has lost 4.8 percent against the dollar since Aug.
8, when Russia sent troops and warplanes into Georgia for a
military campaign that led to the worst relations with NATO since
the Cold War. Investors have pulled at least $35 billion out of
the country since the war, according to BNP Paribas SA estimates.
Oil production, the government's biggest source of revenue,
and accelerating inflation are adding to concerns. Crude output is
falling for the first time since 1998 and the inflation rate
advanced more than expected in August to 15 percent.
Industrial output grew more slowly than economists expected
in August and economic growth in the second quarter slowed to an
annual 7.5 percent from 8.5 percent in the previous period.
Still, unlike 1998, Russia is ``pretty well prepared'' to
weather the turmoil, the World Bank's chief representative in
Russia, Klaus Rohland, said today. The economy has grown every
year for a decade and its international reserves have surged in
the period by almost 50 times to $574 billion.
Banking Investors
International banks have entered the Russian market in recent
years. Societe Generale, France's second-largest bank, owns OAO
Rosbank, a top 10 retail bank. Commerzbank AG, Germany's second-
biggest lender by assets, owns a 15 percent stake in Promsvyazbank
and Unicredit SpA, Europe's fourth-biggest bank, recently
purchased Moscow International Bank. Raiffeisen International
Bank-Holding AG is the largest foreign bank by assets in Russia.
The Finance Ministry yesterday added $20 billion to the
interbank lending market.
Sberbank, VTB and Gazprombank ``are market-making banks
capable of insuring the liquidity of the banking system,'' the
ministry said in a statement today.
Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin said the measures should
``smooth over the shock changes'' in the markets. ``With foreign
borrowing stopping, we must soften the impact with additional
funds,'' he said on state television.
The ruble-denominated Micex Stock Exchange suspended trading
indefinitely at 12:10 p.m. after its index plunged as much as 10
percent within an hour. The benchmark fell 17 percent yesterday,
the biggest decline of the 88 indexes tracked by Bloomberg. The
dollar-denominated RTS halted trading after similar declines.
``The primary objective of these measures is to inject
liquidity to calm nervousness,'' Alexander Morozov, chief
economist at HSBC Bank in Moscow, said by telephone.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Alex Nicholson in Moscow at
anicholson6@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: September 17, 2008 12:03 EDT